2015 Robot Industry Development Report (full version)

Release time:

2019/03/14

As China's demographic dividend disappears, robots are not only replacing workers in manufacturing, but also replacing humans in the fields of military, service, entertainment, etc. "Iron Man" is not only in American science fiction movies, but is entering us. life. This report analyzes the robot industry and leading listed companies, compares the technical routes, development paths, and downstream market distribution of the robot industry in Japan, the United States, and Germany, predicts the development direction and space of the domestic robot industry, and explores the tenbager of the Chinese stock market.

(1) The service robot is a young member of the robot family, and its positioning is service. The current marketization of service robots in the world is still in its infancy, but it is growing rapidly due to the rigid drive and aging and other rigid drives and technological development. According to the reports from marketsandmarkets, the global service robot market in 2012 was 20.73 billion US dollars. It is estimated that the compound annual growth rate will reach 17.4% in 2012-2017 and reach 46.18 billion US dollars in 2017. The industry space is huge, and China will become a latecomer, and the growth rate will be faster.

(2) At present, at least 48 countries in the world are developing robots, and 25 of them have been involved in the development of service robots. In Japan, North America and Europe, there are now more than 40 types of service robots in seven types of experimental and semi-commercial applications in the field of service robots. The development is in the forefront of the countries, the Western countries are represented by the United States, Germany and France. Asia is represented by Japan and South Korea. In 2012, China formulated the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan for Service Robot Technology Development” to support the development of the industry.

(3) The emergence of Da Vinci robots indicates the advent of the third generation of surgical surgery. Medical robots, as the professional service robot with the highest unit value, are the hotspots of the current medical industry. The world's leading medical robotics company, Intuition Surgery, had revenues of $2.265 billion in 2013, with a total market capitalization of $15.96 billion. In the next four years, medical machines will grow at a rate of 19% per year, and the global market size is expected to grow to $11.9 billion in 2016. Although the popularity of medical robots in China is low and the start is late, companies such as Harbin Institute of Technology and Bosch have also actively intervened.

(4) The engine of world economic growth is about to enter the RT era by IT, and the family intelligent robot will become the core terminal of the family in the era of intelligent Internet of Things. In 2012, the total consumption of smart home robot products reached US$1.6 billion. The leading company iRobot achieved revenue of US$254 million in the first half of 2014, with a global market share of over 60% and a market capitalization of approximately US$1 billion. IFR forecasts that an estimated 22 million smart home robots will be sold in 2013-2016. Although China's family service robot technology is relatively backward, the relevant enterprises have achieved the combination of research and production, which has already begun to take shape, with good performance and huge space.

(5) Military robots are the key strategic strategies for military security in the 21st century: The Tyre Group said that the global R&D investment and procurement demand for UAVs will reach US$94 billion in the next 10 years. The military robots include the United States, Germany, Britain, France and France. These countries are not only in the forefront of technology research, but their products have already been used in the military. The technological gap between China and these powerful countries is obvious, supported by policies, and military robot-related enterprises. The development prospects are clearly good and may become a strong income guarantee for the company in the future.

Foreword

The robot revolution was proposed in a scientific report entitled "Autonomous System" published by the Royal College of Engineering on August 19, 2009, as artificial intelligence robots and computers will increasingly appear in all aspects of life, 2019 Will usher in the robot revolution. In the past two years, as China's demographic dividend has fallen and labor prices have risen, robots are not only replacing workers in manufacturing, but also surpassing humans in military, reconnaissance, service, and entertainment. Take the example of a robot dog LS3 designed by Boston Dynamics, which is acquired by Google. It can carry 32.2 kilometers with a load of 181 kilograms without replenishment for 24 hours. It can also be in woods, rocks, obstacles. Follow the soldiers in complex terrain such as the city. In addition, unmanned aircraft for reconnaissance, unmanned vehicles, robots for accompanying care, robots for children's education and entertainment, and household robots for cleaning, "Iron Man" has not only existed in science fiction movies, robots Going into our lives.

From the robot application environment, robot experts divide robots into two categories, industrial robots and service robots. Industrial robots can be roughly classified into welding robots, handling robots, painting robots, rubberizing robots, assembly robots, palletizing robots, cutting robots, automatic tractors (AGV) robots, and clean room robots. The service robot is a variety of advanced robots other than industrial robots for non-manufacturing and serving humans, mainly including personal/home service robots and professional service robots. Among them, personal/home robots mainly include: homework robots, entertainment and leisure robots, handicapped assisted robots, residential safety and surveillance robots; professional service robots mainly include: field robots, professional cleaning robots, medical robots, logistics robots, inspection and Maintenance robots, construction robots, underwater robots, and defense, rescue and safety application robots, etc.

Our 2014 robot industry report series is divided into two parts: industrial robots and service robots. Although the Chinese robots are still in the initial stage, the domestic six-axis robots produce less than 2,000 units, and the core component reducers are almost imported. However, the Chinese market has become the world's largest market, with huge potential demand in the manufacturing, logistics, service and military sectors. In the past two years, China's robot industry investment is also in full swing. Dozens of listed companies have announced their entry into the robotics field. At the same time, the key technologies and core components of robots have not yet been broken, and the research and development personnel are in short supply, and the production capacity of low-end robots is repeated. Is there any excess of domestic robot production capacity? What kind of strategy should Chinese robotics companies adopt? In which application areas is China expected to achieve import substitution? What is the space for industrial robots, service robots, and military robots in the future? This report analyzes the robot industry and the world's leading listed companies, compares the technical routes, development paths, and downstream market distribution of the robotics industry in Japan, the United States, and Germany, and forecasts the development direction and space of the domestic robot industry, hoping for the robot industry, one or two. Level market investment has helped to tap China's tenbager.

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